Tuesday, August 31, 2010

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common errors of logic III

Continuing with the list drawn up the previous entry ( Some) Common errors of logic " II and we will continue with this list:

Effect
  • focus: Occurs when placed much more importance at a particular point or aspect of an event.
  • professional deformation: Tendency to have some professionals to explain the situation or appreciate the things according to their own profession, forgetting any other point of view wide.
  • Effect of transfer: our tendency to overestimate things once we have them.
  • Illusion of control: When we think we can influence the outcome of something in which we have no ability to influence or change the outcome. An example is thinking that the fans influence the outcome of a football game to the point of being able to change the outcome. Defense
  • status: When an individual is considered with a certain status and tend to deny and defend any comments that contradict even resorting to self-deception. It is quite common among academics.
  • Prejudice by impact: Our tendency to judge wrongly, generally overestimated the duration and intensity of future emotional states based on previous experience, is a wrong bias, since not always react the same to the same stimuli.
  • Denial of probability: When we deny any chance at making under uncertainty. Lake Effect
  • exposure : To express love for anything simply because it is familiar.
  • default Prejudice: It is quite common to think that actions are more harmful or immoral omissions when in fact are just as harmful, such is not deemed as reckless murder that skipping relief in a traffic accident.
  • Prejudice or bias results: The typical "the result is what counts" when we judge a decision by the result rather than its quality or accuracy.
  • Planning Fallacy: When we reject the task completion times.
  • pseudocerteza Effect: Tendency choose riskier if the expected results are much more positive than the other options.
  • zero risk Trend: When we reduce a small risk to zero instead of trying to reduce the greatest risks, hyperbolic discount
  • : When you prefer immediate benefits benefits with delayed results.
  • Loss Aversion: preference is to avoid losses rather to prefer earnings continue

Friday, August 27, 2010

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Common Errors of logic II

Continuing with the list drawn up in the previous post (Some ) Common errors of logic "let's add some more to it.

In the current post we will try what call "cognitive biases " or even "cognitive biases " which is basically how we all interpret reality, which is not otherwise never 100% corresponds to reality itself. We call

prejudice to the decision-making without a history or previous experience, such prejudices have favored over the history of our evolution (not very useful to sit down to think to deal with the threat of a predator), but these prejudices in some cases generate conflicts, especially in societies that are increasingly remote from nature. We can therefore say that a prejudice is the form that has the consciousness to process information without having to think about it all.

An example of these prejudices or judgments store is for example the existence of a flow of electrons in the electricity, which everyone believes untestable even with the naked eye and it would be feasible that each of us tried.

Let's see some of the "failure" or prejudices that we all flaunt every day:

  • disconfirmation Prejudice or disagreement: Unlike the so-called confirmation bias (or naive empiricism) cited in the previous post, this is a trend towards a critical examination of the information when it contradicts our core beliefs
  • selective perception: It is our tendency to perceive reality according to the anxieties, hopes and dreams,
  • Bandwagon Effect also called entrainment or winning wagon effect: The tendency to believe something because other people believe, or instead give a theory that no one follows.
  • the false consensus effect: When we believe that our habits and beliefs are more widespread among the population than they really are. Is an application of confirmatory bias or selective perception to our beliefs. Bias
  • comprehensive choice: The tendency to remember our choices as better than they actually were. Prejudice
  • information: When faced with a decision we tend to seek information, even when this may not be relevant or affect the decision to make. It creates an effect that makes them believe more information on reasoning and / or completion are easier or truthful.
  • compatibility Prejudice: The tendency to test hypotheses exclusively through direct evidence.
  • contrast effect: One of the things we humans like to compare, this bias is the enhancement or reduction in quality or extent of an object when compared with other recently observed.

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Saturday, August 21, 2010

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The Autumn Leaves, Cecile bredies

Saturday, August 14, 2010

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Rankings updated


already have the penultimate update (top ten) triathlon national ranking, while waiting for our championship Autonomy ( Triathlon Santa Olaya ) test and the queen, the football Triathlon of Spain, in Almeria. Unfortunately, we found no academic among the top 10, both female and male.

But the rest of the rankings we have left the odd joy. The Duathlon leaves us Beat fifth and sixth Susan Coto (remember that both were made with his gold medal in the past GE Spain Duathlon Championships, held in Gijón). In cros Duathlon we find the fourth in Aida Nuno, the fifth and tenth Coto Susana Monica Carrascosa ( here you can find a chronicle of Spain Championships Duathlon and Triathlon cros May).


In male cateogoría we found the pleasant surprise of Chus (Chus), leads in national ranking Aquathlon, accompanied closely by Barroso, which occupies the third position. On the other hand, Emilio Suarez, has placed second in the national duathlon ranking Cros and fifth in the Duathlon. The only presence is that of Ivan ML Prendergast, ranked number seven nationally ranked.

still have to know the full rankings. We'll talk about with them. "


Sunday, August 8, 2010

2010 Easton Sv12 Review

Valladolid Triathlon: Triathlon Clasificatorio 2010

The first day August Triathlon was held in Valladolid, proves that gave you access to the Championship of Spain Pulpí Triathlon (in GE, as in elite). The club's female participation was low, and only took Monica Carrascosa and Sharon, both in the career of GE, sharing all age range.

sweltering heat (although less than that endured by the guys on the team the day before the Championship Triathlon Relay Spain) took place the qualifier that ended with the eighth place and MónicaC Sharon third, both in the GE 35-39.

Within days will post some photos of the academic expedition traveled to Pucela.